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08 marzo

March 8 Observations

I have watched the landscape of the Democratic side of the nomination with quite a bit of interest lately.  The Republican side is a bit boring for now.  Last fall, the media was in full swing Hillarymania.  I saw headlines like Hillary stands for this great thing or that great thing.  The Obama headlines went something like, "Is Obama Black Enough To Be Accepted by Black Voters?" or "Does Obama Have Enough Experience?".  Hillary was portrayed as the (media's) obvious choice and much of the Democratic leaning folks were on the same track.  Just comparing the two, Hillary seemed to command about 55-60% of the support leaving 40-45% for Obama.
 
Then in the December/January timeframe, something happened.  All the sudden Obama is the media golden child.  Everything you read was great about Obama and not so great about Hillary.  There were headlines like, "Tuesday May Spell Doom For Clinton Campaign" and she trailed by less than 200 delegates with 40% still to be decided.  In the polls between the two of them, Hillary and Obama have basically changed places.  I am suggesting the change is media driven.  To me the scary thing is that the media (a very small percentage of the American public) has the power to do this and the American public is this easily swayed.
 
I think I can be fairly objective in comparing Hillary and Obama since neither is my personal frontrunner at this time.  My order (subject to change) is:  McCain, Clinton, Obama.  So I would rather see a McCain vs Clinton ticket than McCain vs Obama.
 
In spite of this, I am not worried about Hillary missing out on the Democratic nomination.  Hillary has huge support at the DNC.  I expect the superdelagates to go heavy in favor of Hillary.  She has invested much more heavily in the DNC over the years and I expect that the DNC will remain loyal to her.  It will still make for an interesting convention.